The Poker Outs Chart You'll Actually Use

You don’t need a 20-row chart. Almost every Hold’em draw falls into a handful of out counts. Here are the exact numbers, with the rule of 2 and 4 estimate next to them.

The chart

Outs	Typical draw	Flop → turn	Turn → river	Flop → river	Rule of 2 / 4
2	Pocket pair to a set	4.3%	4.3%	8.4%	4% / 8%
3	One overcard	6.4%	6.5%	12.5%	6% / 12%
4	Gutshot	8.5%	8.7%	16.5%	8% / 16%
5	Pair to two pair or trips	10.6%	10.9%	20.4%	10% / 20%
6	Two overcards	12.8%	13.0%	24.1%	12% / 24%
8	Open-ended straight draw	17.0%	17.4%	31.5%	16% / 32%
9	Flush draw	19.1%	19.6%	35.0%	18% / 35%*
10	Gutshot + two overcards	21.3%	21.7%	38.4%	20% / 38%*
12	Flush draw + gutshot	25.5%	26.1%	45.0%	24% / 44%*
15	Flush draw + open-ender	31.9%	32.6%	54.1%	30% / 53%*

* Using the adjusted ×4 rule: subtract one for each out above 8.

“Flop → river” assumes you see both cards without facing another bet — usually only when someone is all-in.

Count clean outs, not all outs

An out only counts if it gives you the best hand. Discount outs that:

• Help your opponent too. A card that completes your straight but puts a fourth heart on board may give someone a flush.
• Are already accounted for. Don’t count the same card twice — a card that makes your flush and your straight is one out.
• Only make a second-best hand. Pairing your low card on a board where your opponent likely has an overpair isn’t an out.

When in doubt, knock an out or two off the count.

Use it at the table

1. Count your clean outs.
2. Read the chance of hitting from the chart (or ×2).
3. Compare with the equity the bet requires in the pot odds calculator.

Practise until it’s automatic with the outs trainer.

#maths#outs#charts